مراقب مضيق هرمز في الوقت الفعلي
يتم جمع المعلومات الرئيسية في مكان واحد حتى تتمكن من تقييم حالة المضيق بلمحة.
ملخص الحالة
- Core situation: Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz have intensified as Iran threatens to block transit for any country or company accepting payments from frozen assets. The conflict between the U.S. and Iran is becoming increasingly intertwined with the war in Ukraine, and despite a pause in U.S. airstrikes, Iran remains hesitant to resume formal cease-fire negotiations.
- Military and diplomatic moves: Iran is engaging in emergency talks with Saudi Arabia and Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz while simultaneously facing diplomatic backlash from the EU over alleged attacks on French diplomats. While President Trump has hinted at positive dialogue with Iran, the recent Ukrainian strike on an Iranian vessel serves as a volatile factor that could further escalate military friction between the two nations.
- Market reaction: Despite ongoing concerns over energy supply disruptions and geopolitical instability, oil prices have trended downward as diplomatic discussions between Iran and its neighbors provide a degree of market relief. Conversely, broader financial sentiment remains cautious, evidenced by a decline in major indices like the NASDAQ and a rise in the VIX volatility index.
- Outlook and watch points: The outcome of direct communication between President Trump and Iranian officials remains the critical variable for potential de-escalation, alongside the impact of the Ukraine conflict on the freedom of navigation in the Strait. It is essential to monitor whether Iran’s threats to block transit are merely tactical leverage for negotiations or precursors to actual physical interference.
مؤشر خطر هرمز
متوسط العبور الأسبوعي
حالة المضيق
مستوى الحصار
مؤكد
السفن النشطة
12
متوسط 7 أيام
الناقلات
4
متوسط 7 أيام
سفن الحاويات
3
متوسط 7 أيام
سفن البضائع السائبة
3
متوسط 7 أيام
سفن البضائع العامة
2
متوسط 7 أيام
الدخول الداخلي
0
تقدير AIS لـ 24 ساعة
الخروج الخارجي
0
تقدير AIS لـ 24 ساعة
خريطة المضيق
تدفق العبور (90 يومًا)
أسعار النفط (الوقت الفعلي)
أسعار البنزين في الولايات المتحدة
لمحة عن السوق
S&P 500
7,400
-0.17%
NASDAQ
24,680
-1.01%
S&P Fut.
7,433
-0.21%
NASDAQ Fut.
27,690
-1.77%
VIX
18.79
+0.64%
KOSPI
6,024
-10.84%
KOSDAQ
706
-7.72%
STOXX Europe 600
646
+0.25%
Nikkei 225
62,365
-3.95%
Hang Seng
25,311
+0.41%
Shanghai Comp.
3,813
-1.16%
U.S. 10Y Yield
4.616%
-0.54%
Gold Fut.
4,022
-1.28%
USD Index
101.46
-0.05%
Gasoline Fut.
3
-4.64%
Heating Oil Fut.
4
-1.83%
القضايا ذات الصلة
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