نمایشگر لحظهای تنگه هرمز
اطلاعات کلیدی در یک جا جمعآوری شده است تا بتوانید وضعیت تنگه را با یک نگاه ارزیابی کنید.
خلاصه وضعیت
- Core situation: Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz have intensified as Iran threatens to block transit for any country or company accepting payments from frozen assets. The conflict between the U.S. and Iran is becoming increasingly intertwined with the war in Ukraine, and despite a pause in U.S. airstrikes, Iran remains hesitant to resume formal cease-fire negotiations.
- Military and diplomatic moves: Iran is engaging in emergency talks with Saudi Arabia and Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz while simultaneously facing diplomatic backlash from the EU over alleged attacks on French diplomats. While President Trump has hinted at positive dialogue with Iran, the recent Ukrainian strike on an Iranian vessel serves as a volatile factor that could further escalate military friction between the two nations.
- Market reaction: Despite ongoing concerns over energy supply disruptions and geopolitical instability, oil prices have trended downward as diplomatic discussions between Iran and its neighbors provide a degree of market relief. Conversely, broader financial sentiment remains cautious, evidenced by a decline in major indices like the NASDAQ and a rise in the VIX volatility index.
- Outlook and watch points: The outcome of direct communication between President Trump and Iranian officials remains the critical variable for potential de-escalation, alongside the impact of the Ukraine conflict on the freedom of navigation in the Strait. It is essential to monitor whether Iran’s threats to block transit are merely tactical leverage for negotiations or precursors to actual physical interference.
شاخص ریسک هرمز
میانگین عبور هفتگی
وضعیت تنگه
سطح محاصره
تأیید شده
کشتیهای فعال
12
میانگین ۷ روزه
نفتکشها
4
میانگین ۷ روزه
کشتیهای کانتینری
3
میانگین ۷ روزه
کشتیهای فلهبر خشک
3
میانگین ۷ روزه
کشتیهای باری عمومی
2
میانگین ۷ روزه
ورود به داخل
0
تخمین ۲۴ ساعته AIS
خروج به سمت دریا
0
تخمین ۲۴ ساعته AIS
نقشه تنگه
جریان عبور (۹۰ روزه)
قیمت نفت (لحظهای)
قیمت بنزین در ایالات متحده
نمای بازار
S&P 500
7,400
-0.17%
NASDAQ
24,680
-1.01%
S&P Fut.
7,433
-0.21%
NASDAQ Fut.
27,690
-1.77%
VIX
18.79
+0.64%
KOSPI
6,024
-10.84%
KOSDAQ
706
-7.72%
STOXX Europe 600
646
+0.25%
Nikkei 225
62,365
-3.95%
Hang Seng
25,311
+0.41%
Shanghai Comp.
3,813
-1.16%
U.S. 10Y Yield
4.616%
-0.54%
Gold Fut.
4,022
-1.28%
USD Index
101.46
-0.05%
Gasoline Fut.
3
-4.64%
Heating Oil Fut.
4
-1.83%
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