ホルムズ海峡リアルタイムモニター
重要な情報が一箇所に集約されているため、海峡の状況を一目で把握できます。
状況の要約
- Core situation: Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz have intensified as Iran threatens to block transit for any country or company accepting payments from frozen assets. The conflict between the U.S. and Iran is becoming increasingly intertwined with the war in Ukraine, and despite a pause in U.S. airstrikes, Iran remains hesitant to resume formal cease-fire negotiations.
- Military and diplomatic moves: Iran is engaging in emergency talks with Saudi Arabia and Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz while simultaneously facing diplomatic backlash from the EU over alleged attacks on French diplomats. While President Trump has hinted at positive dialogue with Iran, the recent Ukrainian strike on an Iranian vessel serves as a volatile factor that could further escalate military friction between the two nations.
- Market reaction: Despite ongoing concerns over energy supply disruptions and geopolitical instability, oil prices have trended downward as diplomatic discussions between Iran and its neighbors provide a degree of market relief. Conversely, broader financial sentiment remains cautious, evidenced by a decline in major indices like the NASDAQ and a rise in the VIX volatility index.
- Outlook and watch points: The outcome of direct communication between President Trump and Iranian officials remains the critical variable for potential de-escalation, alongside the impact of the Ukraine conflict on the freedom of navigation in the Strait. It is essential to monitor whether Iran’s threats to block transit are merely tactical leverage for negotiations or precursors to actual physical interference.
ホルムズ・リスク指数
週間平均通過量
海峡の状況
封鎖レベル
確認済み
アクティブな船舶
12
7日間平均
タンカー
4
7日間平均
コンテナ船
3
7日間平均
ドライバルク船
3
7日間平均
一般貨物船
2
7日間平均
内海への進入
0
24時間AIS推定値
外海への退出
0
24時間AIS推定値
海峡マップ
通過フロー（90日間）
原油価格（リアルタイム）
米国のガソリン価格
マーケットスナップショット
S&P 500
7,400
-0.17%
NASDAQ
24,680
-1.01%
S&P Fut.
7,433
-0.21%
NASDAQ Fut.
27,690
-1.77%
VIX
18.79
+0.64%
KOSPI
6,024
-10.84%
KOSDAQ
706
-7.72%
STOXX Europe 600
646
+0.25%
Nikkei 225
62,365
-3.95%
Hang Seng
25,311
+0.41%
Shanghai Comp.
3,813
-1.16%
U.S. 10Y Yield
4.616%
-0.54%
Gold Fut.
4,022
-1.28%
USD Index
101.46
-0.05%
Gasoline Fut.
3
-4.64%
Heating Oil Fut.
4
-1.83%
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