霍尔木兹海峡实时监控
关键信息集中于此，让您一目了然地评估海峡局势。
局势摘要
- Core situation: Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz have intensified as Iran threatens to block transit for any country or company accepting payments from frozen assets. The conflict between the U.S. and Iran is becoming increasingly intertwined with the war in Ukraine, and despite a pause in U.S. airstrikes, Iran remains hesitant to resume formal cease-fire negotiations.
- Military and diplomatic moves: Iran is engaging in emergency talks with Saudi Arabia and Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz while simultaneously facing diplomatic backlash from the EU over alleged attacks on French diplomats. While President Trump has hinted at positive dialogue with Iran, the recent Ukrainian strike on an Iranian vessel serves as a volatile factor that could further escalate military friction between the two nations.
- Market reaction: Despite ongoing concerns over energy supply disruptions and geopolitical instability, oil prices have trended downward as diplomatic discussions between Iran and its neighbors provide a degree of market relief. Conversely, broader financial sentiment remains cautious, evidenced by a decline in major indices like the NASDAQ and a rise in the VIX volatility index.
- Outlook and watch points: The outcome of direct communication between President Trump and Iranian officials remains the critical variable for potential de-escalation, alongside the impact of the Ukraine conflict on the freedom of navigation in the Strait. It is essential to monitor whether Iran’s threats to block transit are merely tactical leverage for negotiations or precursors to actual physical interference.
霍尔木兹风险指数
周平均通行量
海峡状态
封锁级别
已确认
活跃船只
12
7天平均
油轮
4
7天平均
集装箱船
3
7天平均
干散货船
3
7天平均
杂货船
2
7天平均
进入内海
0
24小时 AIS 估计
驶向公海
0
24小时 AIS 估计
海峡地图
通行流量 (90天)
油价 (实时)
美国汽油价格
市场快照
S&P 500
7,414
+0.01%
NASDAQ
24,765
-0.67%
S&P Fut.
7,454
+0.08%
NASDAQ Fut.
27,881
-1.10%
VIX
18.57
-0.54%
KOSPI
6,024
-10.84%
KOSDAQ
706
-7.72%
STOXX Europe 600
646
+0.19%
Nikkei 225
64,931
-2.25%
Hang Seng
25,311
+0.41%
Shanghai Comp.
3,813
-1.16%
U.S. 10Y Yield
4.618%
-0.50%
Gold Fut.
4,029
-1.13%
USD Index
101.47
-0.04%
Gasoline Fut.
3
-4.50%
Heating Oil Fut.
4
-1.74%
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